JGoodblog:Justice-Faith-Reason

Thursday, February 26, 2009

THE PREDATOR STATE

To help understand what has happened to this
country over the past 30 years, I am drawing
extensively from an article in Mother Jones
(May, 2006) by James K. Galbraith (JKG),
titled "The Predator State." It states a thesis
that he developed and explained fully in a book
by the same name that appeared last year.
(Galbraith is a distinguished professor of eco-
nomics at the Univ. of Texas.) In the article he
writes about the free market religion: "The
doctrines of the 'law and economics" movement,
now ascendant in our courts, hold that if people
are rational, if markets can be 'contested,' if
memory is good and information adequate, then
firms will adhere on their own to norms of
honorable conduct. (Emphasis mine.) Any
public presence in the economy undermines this.
Even insurance -- whether deposit insurance or
Social Security -- is perverse, for it encourages
irresponsible risk taking. Banks will lend to bad
clients, workers will 'live for today,' companies
will speculate with their pension funds; the move-
ment has even argued that seat belts foster reck-
less driving. Insurance, in other words, creates a
'moral hazard' for which 'market discipline' is the
cure; all works for the best when thought and
planning do not interfere. It's a strange vision,
and if we weren't governed by people like John
Roberts and Sam Alito, who pretend to believe it,
it would scarcely be worth our attention."

"In the mixed-economy I grew up in" (continues
JKG a little further down), "there existed a post-
capitalist, post-Marxian vision of middle-class
identity. It consisted of shared assets and en-
titlements, of which the bedrock was public edu-
cation, access to college, good housing, full em-
ployment at living wages, Medicare, and Social
Security. These programs, publicly provided,
financed or guaranteed, had softened the rough
edges of Great Depression capitalism, rewarding
the sacrifices that won the Second World War.
They also showcased America, demonstrating to
those behind the Iron Curtain that regulated
capitalism could yield prosperity far beyond the
capacities of state planning. (This, and not the
arms race, ultimately brought down the Soviet
empire.) These middle-class institutions survive
in America today, but they are frayed and tat-
tered from constant attack. (Ital. mine) And
the division between those included and those
excluded is large and obvious to all."

"Today (still Galbraith), the signature of American
capitalism is neither benign competition, nor class
struggle, nor an inclusive middle-class utopia. In-
stead, predation has become the dominant feature
-- a system wherein the rich come to feast on de-
caying systems built for the middle-class. The
predatory class is not the whole of the wealthy;
it may be opposed by many others of similar
wealth. But it is the defining feature, the leading
force. And its agents are in full control of the
government under which we live." (Emph. mine.)

He continues: "Our rulers deliver favors to their
clients. These range from Native American casino
operators, to Appalachian coal companies, to Saipan
sweatshop operators, to the would-be oil field
operators of Iraq. They include the misanthropes
who led the campaign to abolish the estate tax;
Charles Schwab, who suggested the dividend tax
cut of 2003; the 'Benedict Arnold' companies who
move their taxable income offshore; and the finan-
cial institutions behind last year's bankruptcy bill.
Everywhere you look, public decisions yield gains
to specific private entities."

"For in a predatory regime, nothing is done for
public reasons. Indeed, the men in charge do not
recognize that 'public purposes' exist." (That's why
they let our infrastructure degrade, I comment.)
"They have friends, and enemies, and as for the
rest -- we're the prey. Hurricane Katrina illus-
trated this perfectly, as Halliburton scooped up
contracts (a la The Shock Doctrine by Naomi
Klein, me again.) And Bush hamstrung Kathleen
Blanco, the Democratic governor of Louisiana.
The population of New Orleans was, at best, an
afterthought; once dispersed, it was quickly
forgotten."

Professor Galbraith says further: "The predator-
prey model explains some things that other mo-
dels cannot: in particular, cycles of prosperity
and depression. Growth among the prey stimu-
lates predation. The two populations grow to-
gether at first, but when the balance of power
shifts toward the predators (through rising in-
terest rates, utility rates, oil prices, or embezzle-
ments), both can crash abruptly. When they do,
it takes a long time for either to recover."

Remember: JKG wrote this in Mother Jones
three years ago. It was predictive, as well as
descriptive. He continues: "The predatory model
can also help us understand why many rich people
have come to hate the Bush administration. For
predation is the enemy of honest business. (my
emph.)In a world where the winners are all
connected, it's not only the prey who lose out. It's
everyone who hasn't licked the appropriate boots.
Predatory regimes are like protection rackets:
powerful and feared, but neither loved nor respec-
ted. They do not enjoy a broad political base."
(That last was also predictive.)

"In a predatory economy, the rules imagined by
the law and economics (free mkt) crowd don't
apply. There's no market discipline. Predators
compete not by following the rules but by break-
ing them. They take the business-school view of
law: Rules are not designed to guide behaviour
but laid down to define the limits of unpunished
conduct. Once one gets close to the line, stepping
over it is easy. A predatory economy is crimino-
genic: it fosters and rewards criminal behaviour.
(Madoff and Stanford, Abramoff, Enron , etc.,etc.,
ad nauseum) Why don't markets provide the
discipline? Why don't 'reputation effects'
secure good behaviour? Economists have been
slow to answer these questions, but now we have
a full-blown theory in a book by my colleague
William K. Black, The Best Way to Rob a Bank Is
to Own One."

The subtitle for JKG's book is: "How Conservatives
Abandoned the Free Market and Why Liberals
Should Too." Obviously, it was written B. O. (be-
fore Obama.) We'll have to see whether O. sees
the problem or is prepared to deal with it. Some
of his appointments are not reassuring, because
a lot of them come from the Clinton crew, who
got very rich in the system. His closest econo-
mics people were trained in and enriched by,
the wall street and banking crowd that ran the
Ponzi scheme that has now crashed. These folks
are still pampering the banks and indulging their
whims with taxpayer's bucks. That isn't change
I can believe in! Small banks are being taken
over every day by the F. D. I. C. and either
liquidated, sold, or cleaned up and restored.
Paul Krugman calls the big banks "zombies,"
(dead men walking) and says the government
should treat them the say way as little banks.
Instead we are throwing good money after bad.
Insanity is repeating the same behaviour and
expecting a different result.

jgoodwin004@centurytel.net

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

THE GREAT DENIAL

Ronald Regan famously taught us that "gov-
ernment is the problem." He had it half
right: bad government is the problem, as we
have learned, to our grief, over the past eight
years! In the '30s we saw good government
build dams and bridges and put millions of
idle people to work on roads, woods, building,
and conservation.

Yes, I know: ignorant potato heads on TV are
parroting the old Republican mantra that F. D. R.'s
reforms "didn't work." They cite (correctly) the
fact that we didn't fully recover from the Great
Depression until WW II. 80% recovery doesn't
count for anything! It's all or nothing for those
clowns. And yes, they really are funny, arguing
this nonsense in the hallowed halls of congress!
Lying by omission, they leave out some impor-
tant facts: unemployment went from 25% of the
work force in 1933 (FDR's first year in office) to
13% in 1936. That's a huge improvement! In
1937 FDR listened to the budget hawks who
were alarmed by the deficit, and cut back on his
spending. It caused a recession. A short one.
He gave it full throttle again in '38 and we re-
sumed growth right away.

If you'll Google "the great depression," you'll
learn that while GNP fell a record 13.4% in 1932,
it grew by more than 8% in 1934, and kept im-
proving steadily from then on, except for 1937.
By 1936 national GDP exceeded the level in 1929
(the height of the boom) and went on up from
there. By the time of Pearl Harbor it was up 90%
from 1933. Don't tell me government programs
weren't working! That's hogwash.

Now we are hearing that government stimulus
of the economy "won't work" because it didn't
work for FDR! In other words, because his pro-
grams only cut unemployment in half, they were
worthless. Wouldn't be nice if we could cut un-
employment from, say 9%, to 4.5%? Wouldn't
that be good? In the first full year that FDR's
program kicked in (1934) the economy grew by
8% (according to Paul Krugman). If we could do
4%, wouldn't that be a great help? Because we
can't do everything is not an argument for doing
nothing! More tax cuts for the rich are worse
than nothing. They add to the deficit without
helping the economy. No reputable economist
says differently.

Our new treasury secretary says "governments
are terrible managers of bad assets." Well duh,
who isn't? Can you tell me who is a good mana-
ger of "bad assets"?

The new secretary, who is supposed to be a
genius (and I wish him well), said: "there's no
good history of governments doing that well."
Really? Is there "good history (or bad)" of any-
one else doing it better? How about the guys in
charge now: the ones who ran the train off the
track on a trestle. Should they still be in charge?
There is no history -- good or bad -- of anyone
managing "bad assets" well. It can't be done.
You pay 'em off, write 'em off, flush them or
whatever, and go on. And that's what we need
to do with the old mythology about FDR, market
infallibility, supply side economics, and the magic
of tax cuts. That false religion is what got us here!

jgoodwin004@centurytel.net

Thursday, February 05, 2009

WHEN "COLLATERAL DAMAGE" MAY
DECIDE THE CASE AND DIPLOMACY
BE TONE DEAF, IF NOT FUTILE

We aren't winning in Afghanistan, and no one
claims we are. When fighting a highly moti-
vated, well led insurgency, if you aren't win-
ning, you are losing. And if you are alienating
ever more of the population the longer you
stay, as we did in Vietnam, you know the re-
sult. Two things that alienate the people in
Afghanistan: 1) the widespread corruption
that reaches high into the Karzai government
that we put in power and support. And 2)
our over-reliance on air power due to a short-
age of ground troops results in too many cas-
ualties among non-combatants. Our smart
bombs go where they are sent, but they can't
tell wedding parties from raiding parties. When
they confuse the two and 17 of the wrong people
are killed, which has happened several times in
the past year, it causes great, lasting anger and
alienation. Counterinsurgency becomes ex-
tremely difficult if not impossible when that
keeps happening.

We are sending more troops, but more troops
need more supplies, which must come through
Pakistan. There are now one and a half million
Muslims. Increasing numbers of them are be-
ing swayed toward Islamism, which seeks to
have religious rule in all Muslim countries. That
trend is gaining in Pakistan.

Now, not all Islamists are violent or jihadis, but
that number too is growing. Their principal
grievances, besides the non-clergy dictatorships
in Muslim countries, and the secular governments
(like Pakistan) in others, are related to two toxic
(for Muslims) policies of the U. S.: 1) Our un-
critical backing (and huge financial support) for
Israel and everything it does to the Palestinians.
2) Our long-time and continuing backing for India
in its refusal to hold and abide by a free election
in Kashmir to determine whether it belongs to
India or Pakistan. The Muslim majority, of
course, wants to be part of Pakistan. There are
terrorist groups in Pakistan, some connected to
ISI, Pakistani Intel, who are regularly attacking
Indians. Such was apparently the situation in
the recent bombing of Mumbai. (Where a Jewish
center was also attacked, you'll recall.) The U. S.
is a great champion of democracy and self-deter-
mination unless it relates to Israel/Palestine or
India and Kashmir. Then we see no evil, hear no
evil, etc. We are deaf, dumb and blind. And mor-
ally out to sea! (Adrift, that is.)


BOTTOM LINE: "If the problems with Paki-
stan cannot be solved, the war in Afghanistan
cannot be won." (I'm quoting Fareed Zakaria
in the 2/9/09 Newsweek, emphasis mine.) He's
right, of course. And it's unlikely that anything
will be resolved with Pakistan until and unless
the Palestinians get justice and their own country,
and the Kashmir issue is settled equitably and
democratically. Diplomacy that ignores these
facts is tone deaf and in fact, as futile as our
efforts in Afghanistan without the all-out help
of Pakistan.

jgoodwin004@centurytel.net

CONGRATULATIONS!

WE WON! We got rid of Saddam. Yea!
MISSION ACCOMPLISHED! I don't know who
won, but I know who lost: the Iraqi people. Four
million lost their homes. Most of those folks will
be permanently displaced. More than a million
lost their lives. We burned the house to kill the
rats. Just like Viet-Nam. That's not just stupid.
It's immoral when it's not even your house!

And we destroyed their infrastructure. Kids
are continuing to die there from drinking dirty
water. The water is laced with feces because we
destroyed their sewage treatment and water
treatment plants. Why did we do that? Because
we went to war against the whole country and
its people, even though it was just Saddam and
and a few cronies who were truly evil. And the
people had no control over him, or ability to re-
sist him. It's what happens when we think of
people as enemies, instead of people.

Destroying their water and electric and all 17
bridges across the Tigris didn't help defeat
Saddam. He was beat from the start, practi-
cally, from day one. What it did was infuriate
the population and start feeding an insurrection
that was unnecessary and avoidable, had we
kept their army, police, institutions and infra-
structure intact. (Why we didn't is explained
fully by Naomi Klein in The Shock Doctrine.)

The insurgency killed a lot of Iraqis and close
to 5,000 of our people. We paid in blood for
depriving their kids of clean drinking water.
It did protect our homeland from attack. Why
would they bother and take the risk to try to
get here to kill Americans when it was easy to
do there? With our guard up, do you think
they could have sneaked enough people in here
to kill 5,000 more of us here at home? Well,
we won though, didn't we?

Let me know what you think!


jgoodwin004@centurytel.net